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Bisphenol A market ups and downs to find direction in repeated shocks
added at 2012-10-15

June bisphenol A stock market ups and downs repeatedly market to discuss price hovering between 14,600 to 15,450 yuan (t price, the same below), or more than $ 900 compared to May. Because the end of June the phenol stock market speculation rapid warming, bisphenol A market by cost boost an occasion to rise in East mainstream markets pull quickly rose to more than 15,000 yuan. Thousand the first week of July, soaring raw material phenol, bisphenol A spot market occasion to upstream, coincides with the overall small amount of social resources, dealers reluctant to sell their darker emotions. East mainstream market reference price of 15,000 to 15,200 yuan in July 2, since the fall of the market in June, the first significant rebound, also leave a touch of bright spot prices ending in the first half. After mid-July, this wave of positive market can continue to postpone difficult to assert overall spatial factor of bisphenol A stack now, unilateral to Change Quotes converting continuation. Market outlook Main factors are the following aspects:

First, market supply partial tight. The second quarter bisphenol A internal and external disk serious fuchsia, import discuss decreasing, march import 40745.423 tons, April 37375.272 tons, on May 32746.674 tons, June estimated also in low wandering, domestic trade spot resources gradually digestion, together with June Shanghai sinopec mitsui plan repair A month, the whole social resources gradually reduce, bisphenol A market also become chemicals market A few supply face tighter one of varieties.

Secondly, the downstream demand general epoxy resin. At present, the solid epoxy resin to start load five or six into, liquid epoxy resin slightly to seven eighty percent the left and right sides, and the price with the raw material market all the way down fluctuations, resin plant expressed order needs not ideal, and high summer off-season, from downstream demand window support is hard to find; Another downstream polycarbonate by peripheral grail drag and downstream demand weak restriction, price declines in the 500 ~ 800 yuan. Due to July peripheral economic outlook uncertain and financing area partial tight adverse situation continue, its or will continue to continue the weak finishing pattern.

Thirdly, macroscopic factors recession. At the end of June in early July, energy and macro market news change again dish, the international crude oil continuous multiple trade close down, dropped to under $72 per barrel; China's stock market on the topix index fell 2400 points at one time, half a year in the fall is one of the world's major stock index's first, and part of the economic leading indicators primarily for the market outlook increased economic situation of uncertainty, the market confidence is obvious restriction, the market investment and speculative mentality more cautious. Bisphenol A current internal and external disk fuchsia serious, the overall market is still weak, although the spot market rebounded, but foreign plate of negotiations is still relatively cautious, the short line market mentality is compatible, ZhongChangXian is still difficult to have clear direction in.

Fourth, raw material to branch. Bisphenol A main raw material phenol June first after suppression Yang, east China mainstream market price has basic back to early June level or slightly high. In July, Shanghai sinopec mitsui bisphenol A device to drive, tianjin (sand) 350000 tons/year plant late June maintenance, phenol outside dish in domestic trade pull to rise next lift up, at present the whole resources is not much, there is no lack of follow-up small pull to rise may; Acetone June fell 1250 yuan, down 18.12%, along with phenol profit picks up, stage in acetone supply surplus facing, the market to build shocks bottom is given priority to, Pure benzene with more crude oil "with the wind place", the market is expected to continue the pattern of shocks.

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